Does anyone else feel A Compete Unknown is not going to win a single award?

To be clear, I like the film a lot and can see why it was nominated for so many awards but I think it won't win anything. Out of it's eight nominations, this is how I see things:

  • Picture- Anora is strongest
  • Director- Between Brady or Baker
  • Actor- Brody will win
  • Supporting Actor- Culkin will win
  • Supporting Actress- Saldana will win
  • Adapted Screenplay- Conclave is strongest
  • Sound- Wicked or Dune
  • Costume- Wicked will win

The only awards I see it being close to winning are Adapted Screenplay and Sound, but these are long shots.

I would love to see Norton win Supporting Actor as I feel he is the strongest in this category, but Culkin has been a runaway from the start.

So what do we think? Will A Complete Unknown walk away with zero awards?